Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 340.229872 388.054993 442.037928 507.851944 586.417491 677.816440 793.093953
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 276.037509 339.159189 417.531452 523.510298 665.459200 852.541033 1123.842827
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 236.659271 304.941111 395.139927 525.923609 715.770967 989.779531 1431.894405
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 205.409227 274.192707 369.387783 515.038206 740.370744 1090.649902 1709.428452
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 185.179352 254.777089 355.057688 515.937012 779.548050 1218.500082 2064.314710
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 165.997102 234.001386 335.236370 504.116745 794.528361 1307.594822 2375.568762
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 152.407432 219.702668 322.960184 501.665638 823.520506 1426.057771 2781.821507
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 136.313096 199.776240 299.370354 476.575043 807.215532 1454.791823 3005.600527
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 131.746862 197.364468 303.481225 499.494929 883.431664 1684.503524 3783.330280
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 128.904542 197.322372 311.316530 529.969587 980.114037 1983.835014 4883.791674
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 121.647063 189.207374 304.295890 531.403353 1017.110957 2157.883137 5725.076689
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 112.922521 177.832112 290.339243 517.386779 1017.994627 2244.548223 6342.337369
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 104.815832 167.097889 276.919318 503.563150 1018.896393 2337.487469 7060.336454
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 101.365146 164.276531 277.809344 519.379301 1092.532578 2651.527955 8830.974215
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 96.571799 158.618019 272.734476 521.760082 1134.089159 2889.228122 10501.366451
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 90.725566 150.574563 262.292349 510.982476 1140.138041 3021.740567 11820.155904
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 86.697099 145.582868 257.356754 511.872416 1177.212872 3268.483231 13977.742492
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 81.714996 138.440539 247.494006 500.168358 1177.692005 3392.370519 15602.972956
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 78.067326 133.586543 241.864399 497.741263 1204.137068 3621.030590 18181.916896
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 72.587912 124.862987 227.588073 472.894758 1160.734755 3573.001086 18839.299616
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 71.841763 125.296545 232.460898 495.591796 1264.963294 4151.792685 25154.516356
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 71.678628 126.855101 239.854516 525.766161 1400.995090 4944.334031 35373.419715
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 69.175027 123.535200 236.344189 527.185690 1443.803051 5342.358292 42838.082304